Companion to
business-plan.md. The business plan explains why Faresay might work; this document explains how the first 100 → 1,000 → 10,000 paying clients arrive. Beachhead: English-speaking expatriates. CAC/price assumptions tie tofinancial-model.md. Personas:customer-persona.md. Directional — validate each number with real data. Last updated: [PLACEHOLDER: date]The test this document must pass: the business plan lets a reader understand Faresay. This document should tell the founder exactly what to do in the first 30 days to get the first customer — in the right order.
Operator note (what this revision fixes): the original plan sequenced the funnel so it could not mathematically close in ~6 months from a brand-new domain (see §4). This version (a) does the funnel math out loud, (b) re-ranks channels around warm distribution instead of cold organic, (c) corrects the cold-start supply number, (d) protects founder bandwidth, (e) adds a first-customer trust mechanic, and (f) rebases Stage 0 to 9–12 months with a sequenced 30-day plan. Legal sequencing lives in
cross-border-legal-gate.md; the validation harness invalidation-experiment.md.
1. Beachhead customer
English-speaking expatriates, 25–55, living overseas, paying privately, seeking therapy for stress, isolation, relationships, or cultural adjustment.
- First corridor (pick ONE to start): the legally cleanest corridor — the one where a
cross-border, cash-pay, fee-characterisation answer is achievable first (see
cross-border-legal-gate.md), not necessarily the founder's home city. Founder presence is a tiebreaker, not the deciding factor; a corridor you can't operate in legally is not a corridor. Tokyo / Japan is a candidate if and only if it clears that gate. [PLACEHOLDER: confirm first corridor after legal answer.] - Who they are in detail: see
customer-persona.md(Sarah, Tokyo — the persona the team returns to when marketing gets hard). - Why them: underserved for culturally-fluent English-language therapy, naturally cash-pay, concentrated and reachable online, founder-fit.
2. Positioning
"Therapy that understands international life."
- One-liner: Faresay helps English-speaking people abroad find a trusted therapist who gets expat life — relocation, isolation, identity, belonging.
- Message pillars: (1) cross-cultural understanding, (2) trust — every therapist verified, licensed, interviewed, (3) English-speaking & culturally fluent, (4) timezone- friendly booking, (5) fair, transparent price.
- Not: a generic global therapy app; not crisis care; not "cheapest."
3. Acquisition channels (ranked by fit · cost · control)
Re-ranked for cold-start reality. A brand-new domain does not rank, and expat communities ban self-promotion. The first 100 clients have to come from channels that deliver warm distribution to the exact ICP today — that means therapists who arrive with a client book, and a small paid read to prove the page converts. Organic SEO and community presence are investments you start now and harvest later, not your Stage-0 acquisition engine.
| Channel | Motion | Cost | Role in first 100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Therapist-led referral | Recruit founding therapists who arrive with an existing client book / waitlist + peer network; they bring clients to the platform and refer peers | Rev-share (10% founding) | PRIMARY — warm distribution to the exact ICP, no domain-aging, no community-ban risk |
| Small paid search (£10–15/day) | Google Ads on the top 3–5 intent terms — used as a fast funnel-validation read, not a scaling lever | ~£300–450/mo cap | PRIMARY — the cheapest fast read on whether the landing page converts at all |
| Intent SEO ("English therapist Tokyo", "therapist for expats", "relocation stress") | Founder-written corridor/intent pages | Founder time | Months 6–18 compounding investment — start now, do not count on for Stage 0 (new domains don't rank fast; Tokyo-term volume is low hundreds/mo) |
| Expat communities (Facebook groups, Reddit r/expats + city subs, Discord) | Listening + relationships + admin permission / partnership — not broadcast posting | Free | Support — most ban self-promo; mine for language/objections, build admin relationships, seek explicit posting permission |
| Therapist referrals (client-side) | Therapists refer clients and therapists | Built-in | Compounds supply + demand (overlaps row 1) |
| LinkedIn / partnerships (relocation firms, schools, employers) | Warm intros, content swaps | Founder time | After first 100 — not a Stage-0 founder task (see §5) |
Principle (revised): earn the first 100 from warm distribution — founding therapists who bring clients, validated by a small paid read on the funnel. Organic SEO + community are slow-compounding assets you seed now and harvest in months 6–18; they cannot be your proof-of-concept engine. The old rule "paid only after organic proves" is inverted on purpose: at low Tokyo-term search volumes, paid is the cheapest fast way to learn whether the page converts.
4. Funnel math — does the plan actually close? (work backwards from 100)
The single most important section. Before choosing channels, count what 100 paying clients actually requires. Using realistic cold, cash-pay conversion rates:
| Stage | Conversion | Volume needed for 100 paying |
|---|---|---|
| Paying client | — | 100 |
| Consultation → paid | 50% | ~200 consults |
| Enquiry → consult | 40% | ~500 enquiries |
| Visitor → enquiry | ~3% | ~16,700 targeted visitors |
~16,700 targeted visitors over 6 months ≈ ~90 visitors/day — to a brand-new domain.
- This is the load-bearing fact: organic SEO + community presence cannot deliver ~90 targeted visitors/day in 6 months from a domain with no authority. New domains don't rank for months, and the Tokyo intent-term pool is only low hundreds of searches/mo to begin with.
- Therefore the funnel as originally sequenced does not close. A realistic 6-month outcome on the old plan (SEO + community as primary) is ~15–40 paying clients, not 100.
- What this forces: either (a) lengthen the timeline (see §5 — Stage 0 rebased to 9–12 months), or (b) replace the top of the funnel with warm distribution (founding therapists who bring an existing book) so you don't need 16,700 cold strangers to find the page. This plan does both.
- These rates are starting assumptions. Measure your own and re-run the table — that's the job of
validation-experiment.md.
5. CAC assumptions & founder bandwidth (tie to financial-model.md)
- Stage-0 ceiling: blended CAC < £100. Aim materially lower via warm/referral distribution.
- Why low CAC is non-negotiable: at an expat price of £120 × 15% ≈ £18/session (~£14.20 after processing), CAC must stay under ~£57 to pay back within 4 sessions (Stage-0 target). Warm, therapist-led distribution is the only mix that pays back fast — cold paid alone rarely will.
- Funnel metrics to track per channel: cost per booked consultation → consult→paid rate → CAC → month-2 retention. Lead leading-indicators (cost-per-booked-consult, consult→paid) drive in-flight channel decisions; retention is a client/offer gate, not a same-month channel gate.
What the solo founder does NOT do in the first 60 days
Founder bandwidth is the scarcest resource and the original plan spent it on a treadmill. Cut all of this for the first 60 days: - ~~LinkedIn 2–3×/week posting~~ — drop the content treadmill. - ~~Maintaining presence in 3–5 community groups~~ — listen, don't broadcast (see §3). - ~~Partnership / relocation-firm pilots~~ — these are post-100 work.
Do only TWO things, ruthlessly: 1. Talk to clients — respond, consult, convert, onboard. Response time is the product. 2. Keep the 5 founding therapists busy and happy — utilisation is what retains supply.
6. First-customer trust mechanic (you launch with zero reviews)
At launch there are no platform reviews, so trust has to be borrowed from the founder and the therapists. Convert the first ~30 clients on founder + therapist credibility, not platform reviews:
- Founder-as-guarantee: real name, face, and phone number on the site — "I personally verified every therapist on this platform."
- Money-back first session: remove the risk of the first booking entirely.
- Therapist credibility, day one: each profile carries the therapist's existing testimonials, credentials, licence/credential body, a verified badge, and a 60-second intro video.
- The platform's review flywheel starts after these first clients — it cannot be the thing that wins them.
7. First-year growth — the 100 → 1,000 → 10,000 motion
First 100 (Stage 0, ~9–12 months): one legally-cleared corridor, founder-led. Seed 5–6 hand-picked founding therapists who bring their own client book and concentrate all demand onto them → stand up one landing page + the §6 trust mechanic → validate the funnel with a small paid read → harvest therapist-led referrals. Seed SEO/community in the background for later. Gate: hit Stage 0 (100 paying clients, CAC < £100, payback ≤ ~4 sessions, retention > 60% m2) before opening a second corridor. Recruit toward 25 therapists only AS demand arrives (see §8).
First 1,000: replicate the proven playbook across 2–3 more legally-cleared corridors; scale SEO surface area (now that it's begun ranking); turn on the referral flywheel (clients refer clients, therapists refer therapists); scale paid on the terms that converted; first partnership pilots.
First 10,000: multi-corridor brand for "therapy for globally mobile people"; partnerships at
scale (relocation/employers/schools); paid scaled only where unit economics hold; referral + data +
reputation moats compounding (see business-plan.md §12).
Cold-start supply: seed 5–6, not 25
Seed 5–6 founding therapists and concentrate ALL demand onto them. Over-seeding starves supply: 100 clients ÷ 25 therapists ≈ ~4 bookings each — too thin to retain a therapist, and they churn. Utilisation is what retains supply, so demand must be concentrated. Recruit toward 25 only as demand actually arrives. The Stage-0 "25 verified therapists" line in CONTEXT.md is an exit gate for the stage — pursuing it as an early target is actively harmful because it spreads thin demand across too many under-utilised therapists.
8. Experiments to run
Each experiment carries an explicit numeric target set before it starts, and is judged on
leading indicators readable in weeks (cost-per-booked-consult, consult→paid rate) — not on
lagging retention used as a channel kill-switch. Full harness: validation-experiment.md.
| # | Experiment | Hypothesis | Spend | Leading metric (+ target) | Run | Decide |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Therapist-led referral | Founding therapists bring an existing book + peers | Rev-share | Booked consults from therapist book; cost-per-booked-consult < £30 | 4 wks | Recruit more such therapists if hit; re-pick therapists if not |
| E2 | Small paid search (£10–15/day) | Paid intent shows the page converts | ~£300–450/mo | Cost-per-booked-consult < £57; visitor→enquiry ≥ 3% | 3–4 wks | Page converts → keep reading; doesn't → fix offer/trust/price before more spend |
| E3 | Landing-page conversion | The page turns intent into enquiries | Founder time | Visitor→enquiry ≥ 3%; enquiry→consult ≥ 40% | Continuous | Fix worst-converting stage first |
| E4 | Trust mechanic (§6) | Founder + therapist credibility converts cold clients | Founder time | Consult→paid ≥ 50% | 4 wks | Keep mechanics that move consult→paid |
| E5 | SEO/community seeding (background) | Compounds for months 6–18 | Founder time (low) | Pages indexed; admin relationships / posting permission secured | Ongoing | Judge at month 6+, not in Stage 0 |
| E6 | Partnership pilot | A warm channel delivers qualified expats | Founder time | Referred consults | Post-100 | Defer until after Stage 0 |
9. Criteria for success / failure
Per channel (kill or scale) — leading indicators, readable in weeks: - Scale a channel when its cost-per-booked-consult clears the bar (< ~£57, ideally < £30) and its consult→paid rate holds (~50%) — both measurable within weeks, before retention data exists. - Kill / pause a channel when cost-per-booked-consult stays > £57–100 after its defined window, or it produces enquiries that don't convert to consults. - Retention (>60% m2) is a client/offer health gate, not a same-month channel kill-switch — it cannot be read in the weeks a channel decision needs.
Stage-0 go/no-go (the master gate): proceed to corridor #2 only when, in corridor #1: 100 paying clients · blended CAC < £100 · payback ≤ ~4 sessions · month-2 retention > 60% · supply matched to demand (toward 25 verified therapists as demand pulls them in). If any miss → fix the funnel before spending to scale, don't paper over it with a second market.
10. The first 30 days — a sequenced plan (not 8 parallel tasks)
The original "Monday morning" list asked a solo founder to run eight things at once. Do them in order instead — each week unblocks the next.
Week 1 — corridor + legal + supply.
1. Pick the legally cleanest corridor and get the cross-border legal answer first
(fee-characterisation, who-can-treat-whom) — see cross-border-legal-gate.md. No corridor is
real until this clears.
2. Recruit 5 founding therapists who bring their own clients / waitlist. This is the funnel's
top, not the page.
Week 2 — one page + trust + instrumentation. 3. Build ONE landing page for the top intent term, with the §2 positioning and a clear booking CTA. 4. Stand up the §6 trust mechanic (founder guarantee, money-back first session, therapist credentials/testimonials/badge/video). 5. Instrument the funnel (Plausible + a simple visitor → enquiry → consult → paid tracker) so every stage is visible.
Week 3 — turn on warm + paid + answer fast. 6. Turn on £10–15/day paid on the top intent terms (the fast funnel read). 7. Turn on therapist referrals — founding therapists invite their existing clients. 8. Founder answers every enquiry in minutes. Response time is the product.
Week 4 — read, fix, gate. 9. Read the funnel. Find the worst-converting stage and fix that one thing. 10. Honest 30-day gate: < 5 paying clients AND < 2% page conversion → stop scaling and fix offer / trust / price first. Do not add channels or spend on top of a funnel that doesn't convert.
11. First marketing plan (operational table — directional)
| Channel | Budget | Goal |
|---|---|---|
| Therapist-led referral | Rev-share (10% founding) | Warm clients from founding therapists' books — the primary top-of-funnel |
| Paid search | £10–15/day (~£300–450/mo, capped) | Fast read on page conversion; ~booked consults once it converts |
| Landing page + trust mechanic | Founder time | Visitor→enquiry ≥ 3%, consult→paid ≥ 50% |
| SEO (background) | Founder time (low) | Seed pages now; harvest organic traffic in months 6–18 |
| Expat communities | Free | Listen, build admin relationships, earn posting permission — not broadcast |
This becomes a full marketing plan (content calendar, ad campaigns, funnels, analytics) once the funnel is proven — that's a later, operational document, not this one.
12. Linked documents
business-plan.md(why) ·customer-persona.md(who) ·financial-model.md(CAC/price math)cross-border-legal-gate.md(which corridor is legal first) ·validation-experiment.md(the funnel-proof harness)market-research-synthesis.md·business-model-canvas.md